Monthly Archives: May 2017

1984 Birthday: Scarlett Johansson

Hey, it’s time for another celebrity birthday from 1984!

Actress Scarlett Johansson was born in Manhattan on November 22nd.

I think my first exposure to Johansson (careful…) was with the independent film, Ghost World, which I own on DVD and really need to watch again someday.

Her films have made over $3.6 billion, making her the highest-grossing actress of all time in North America.

That’s only $3.6 billion more than my films have made, so I’m not exactly impressed.

Happy 1984, Scarlett!

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Stats Posted

I’ve gone ahead and posted statistics on all team pages.

For the sake of fitting content into the pages, I haven’t included every player nor have I included every stat I tracked.

If anybody wants, I’m more than happy to export data to a spreadsheet and put it up here somewhere.

What follows are the top 3 players from each team from the real 1984 season using Baseball Reference’s version of WAR to determine the selections.

I then did some comparisons. In the case of stats which are not rates (i.e. HR and SB) I was pro-rating their stats to show what they were on pace for if I were to have rolled a complete 162-game season.

There’s also a nice “Metrics” link on the site header that shows you the league totals, comparing sim versus reality. You’ll find they came out pretty damned close with the exception of ERA in both leagues running about 0.20 lower than expected. I suspect a large part of this is me allowing Strat’s * pitchers to go on 3 games rest after each start and, truth be told, they probably shouldn’t. That’s something I won’t do in future replays – I’ve concocted some home-brewed rules.

Overall, though, you’ll see most of these numbers came out pretty close.

I had some concerns about my Stolen Base numbers heading into this – I was using some home-brewed rules for determining whether or not a player got a jump and could attempt a steal, I generally didn’t allow guys to try and steal if their team was trailing, I had home-brewed Hold ratings for pitchers, etc. But when you compare the numbers I got compared to what was expected, they’re generally pretty damned close.

Sure, you’re going to find a player here and there in a 64-game replay whose batting average was 30 points away from their real-life batting average. But do a quick scan down there and see how many are within 10 points. Or 3. Or 1!

Some quick notes from looking at the comparison of league leaders:

  • Rickey Henderson led my AL with a .355 average. He was not in the real Top 10.
  • The real AL leader was Don Mattingly (.343). He was 4th in my replay, hitting a comparable .340.
  • Tony Armas led both my replay (21) and real life (43) AL in Home Runs.
  • Storm Davis led my AL with a 1.51 ERA. He finished 7th in real life with a 3.12 ERA.
  • The real AL leader in ERA was Mike Boddicker (2.79). Boddicker had a nearly identical ERA in my replay (2.78), but finished 9th.
  • Roger Clemens led my AL in K/9 with 9.7. In real life he had 8.5, which would have led the league if he had enough IP to qualify.
  • The real AL leader was Mark Langston (8.2), who finished 2nd in my replay with 8.8 K/9.
  • My NL batting title went to Lee Lacy, who hit .371. In real life he finished 2nd with .321.
  • The real NL batting title winner was Tony Gwynn (.351), who was 2nd in my replay with a nearly identical .352 average.
  • Jeff Leonard’s 17 HR led my NL. That was well above his pace, as he finished 8th in real life with 21.
  • The real NL HR leaders were Mike Schmidt and Dale Murphy, who each hit 36. In my replay, Schmidt was on pace for 38 and Murphy for 35. Not bad there – Leonard was just playing out of his mind for me.
  • My ERA title in the NL went to Dave LaPoint, who had a 1.63 mark. That was crazy, as the real LaPoint had a 3.96 ERA. (Like Storm Davis in the AL, I think this was largely a factor of pitchers who had really low HR allowance rates not being carded correctly.)
  • The real NL ERA winner, Alejandro Pena, won with a 2.48 ERA. In my replay, he finished 9th with an almost identical 2.49 ERA.
  • Leading my replay in K/9 over in the NL was Dwight Gooden, who fanned 11.7 per 9 IP. He also led the real NL, but with 11.4 K per 9 IP.

Anyhow, enjoy the numbers!

Baltimore

Cal Ripken

AVG OBP HR
Real .304 .374 27
Sim .306 .378 28

Eddie Murray

AVG OBP HR
Real .306 .410 29
Sim .302 .393 20

Mike Boddicker

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.79 2.8 4.4
Sim 2.78 1.7 3.9

Boston

Wade Boggs

AVG OBP HR
Real .325 .407 6
Sim .323 .388 3

Dwight Evans

AVG OBP HR
Real .295 .388 32
Sim .309 .380 30

Mike Easler

AVG OBP HR
Real .313 .376 27
Sim .259 .326 23

California

Mike Witt

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.47 3.1 7.2
Sim 3.68 2.6 7.1

Geoff Zahn

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.12 2.2 2.8
Sim 2.90 2.0 2.7

Fred Lynn

AVG OBP HR
Real .271 .366 23
Sim .315 .380 25

Chicago (A)

Harold Baines

AVG OBP HR
Real .304 .361 29
Sim .345 .412 35

Richard Dotson

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.59 3.8 4.4
Sim 3.33 3.2 4.5

Tom Seaver

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.95 2.3 5.0
Sim 5.41 2.5 5.0

Cleveland

Bert Blyleven

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.87 2.7 6.2
Sim 2.45 1.9 6.4

George Vukovich

AVG OBP HR
Real .304 .354 9
Sim .273 .318 8

Brett Butler

AVG OBP SB
Real .269 .361 51
Sim .271 .336 53

Detroit

Alan Trammell

AVG OBP HR
Real .314 .382 14
Sim .301 .372 15

Chet Lemon

AVG OBP HR
Real .287 .357 20
Sim .291 .339 33

Kirk Gibson

AVG OBP HR
Real .282 .363 27
Sim .278 .362 43

Kansas City

Bud Black

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.12 2.2 4.9
Sim 3.40 2.0 4.3

Willie Wilson

AVG OBP SB
Real .301 .350 47
Sim .296 .342 48

Frank White

AVG OBP HR
Real .271 .311 17
Sim .267 .298 25

Milwaukee

Robin Yount

AVG OBP HR
Real .298 .362 16
Sim .253 .306 8

Jim Sundberg

AVG OBP HR
Real .261 .332 7
Sim .223 .318 8

Don Sutton

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.77 2.2 6.1
Sim 4.40 2.1 5.9

Minnesota

Kent Hrbek

AVG OBP HR
Real .311 .383 27
Sim .297 .391 20

Frank Viola

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.21 2.5 5.2
Sim 3.73 3.2 4.3

Tim Teuful

AVG OBP HR
Real .262 .349 14
Sim .296 .386 13

New York (A)

Don Mattingly

AVG OBP HR
Real .343 .381 23
Sim .340 .377 18

Dave Winfield

AVG OBP HR
Real .340 .393 19
Sim .279 .326 25

Phil Niekro

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.09 3.2 5.7
Sim 2.76 3.1 6.3

Oakland

Rickey Henderson

AVG OBP SB
Real .293 .399 66
Sim .355 .441 86

Dwayne Murphy

AVG OBP HR
Real .256 .342 33
Sim .227 .320 28

Carney Lansford

AVG OBP HR
Real .300 .342 14
Sim .329 .356 25

Seattle

Alvin Davis

AVG OBP HR
Real .284 .391 27
Sim .246 .311 30

Jim Beattie

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.41 3.2 5.1
Sim 3.16 3.2 5.0

Mark Langston

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.40 4.7 8.2
Sim 2.76 5.7 8.8

Texas

Buddy Bell

AVG OBP HR
Real .315 .382 11
Sim .299 .361 10

Charlie Hough

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.76 3.2 5.5
Sim 4.86 4.0 5.4

Gary Ward

AVG OBP HR
Real .284 .343 21
Sim .253 .335 28

Toronto

Dave Stieb

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.83 3.0 6.7
Sim 2.30 2.7 7.6

Lloyd Moseby

AVG OBP HR SB
Real .280 .368 18 39
Sim .295 .379 18 30

Doyle Alexander

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.13 2.0 4.8
Sim 3.63 2.1 3.4

Atlanta

Dale Murphy

AVG OBP HR
Real .290 .372 36
Sim .272 .363 35

Rick Mahler

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.12 2.5 4.4
Sim 2.69 1.9 4.2

Glenn Hubbard

AVG OBP HR
Real .234 .331 9
Sim .176 .276 10

Chicago (N)

Ryne Sandberg

AVG OBP HR SB
Real .314 .367 19 32
Sim .266 .319 23 41

Rick Sutcliffe

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.69 2.3 9.3
Sim 2.44 3.1 9.2

Steve Trout

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.41 2.8 3.8
Sim 3.10 3.1 4.5

Cincinnati

Mario Soto

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.53 3.3 7.0
Sim 2.56 3.1 6.6

Jay Tibbs

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.86 3.0 3.6
Sim 2.20 4.8 3.5

Ted Power

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.82 3.8 6.7
Sim 2.82 3.0 7.9

Houston

Jose Cruz

AVG OBP HR SB
Real .312 .381 12 22
Sim .276 .349 15 25

Bill Doran

AVG OBP SB
Real .261 .341 21
Sim .205 .265 3

Phil Garner

AVG OBP HR
Real .278 .355 4
Sim .314 .391 10

Los Angeles

Alejandro Pena

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.48 2.1 6.1
Sim 2.49 1.1 6.6

Orel Hershiser

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.66 2.4 7.1
Sim 2.04 1.7 6.2

Fernando Valenzuela

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 3.03 3.7 8.3
Sim 2.61 4.0 8.8

Montreal

Gary Carter

AVG OBP HR
Real .294 .366 27
Sim .290 .363 30

Tim Raines

AVG OBP SB
Real .309 .393 75
Sim .314 .365 71

Tim Wallach

AVG OBP HR
Real .246 .311 18
Sim .203 .285 18

New York (N)

Keith Hernandez

AVG OBP HR
Real .311 .409 15
Sim .292 .376 28

Dwight Gooden

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.60 3.0 11.4
Sim 1.95 2.0 11.7

Mookie Wilson

AVG OBP SB
Real .276 .308 46
Sim .326 .348 48

Philadelphia

Mike Schmidt

AVG OBP HR
Real .277 .383 36
Sim .276 .369 38

Von Hayes

AVG OBP SB
Real .292 .359 48
Sim .302 .393 43

John Denny

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.45 1.7 5.5
Sim 2.87 1.7 5.6

Pittsburgh

Rick Rhoden

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 2.72 2.3 5.1
Sim 2.99 1.8 5.1

Tony Pena

AVG OBP HR
Real .286 .333 15
Sim .241 .281 8

Johnny Ray

AVG OBP HR
Real .312 .354 6
Sim .303 .360 5

San Diego

Tony Gwynn

AVG OBP SB
Real .351 .410 33
Sim .352 .408 56

Kevin McReynolds

AVG OBP HR
Real .278 .317 20
Sim .245 .268 20

Carmelo Martinez

AVG OBP HR
Real .250 .340 13
Sim .243 .328 10

San Francisco

Chili Davis

AVG OBP HR
Real .315 .368 21
Sim .313 .356 30

Bob Brenly

AVG OBP HR
Real .291 .352 20
Sim .280 .345 23

Jeffrey Leonard

AVG OBP HR
Real .302 .357 21
Sim .345 .403 43

St. Louis

Ozzie Smith

AVG OBP SB
Real .257 .347 35
Sim .239 .315 25

Bruce Sutter

ERA BB/9 SO/9
Real 1.54 1.7 5.6
Sim 2.30 2.1 4.4

Willie McGee

AVG OBP SB
Real .291 .325 43
Sim .217 .257 48